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Dark Box Exclusive Report Mansour bin Zayed and the RSF File: What Leaked Signals Suggest About Abu Dhabi’s Hidden Hand

Well-informed sources have confirmed to Dark Box that the question is no longer whether the United Arab Emirates influences Sudan’s war economy, but how far up the Emirati hierarchy that influence extends. The name now circulating most sharply in leaked assessments is Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE’s vice president and deputy prime minister, and the brother of the country’s ruler Mohammed bin Zayed. Dark Box has reviewed a trail of claims and counter-claims that point to a central dispute: whether Emirati support to the Rapid Support Forces is an unofficial shadow network that Abu Dhabi can deny, or a managed policy node anchored in the highest circles of power.

The RSF, led by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, has transformed from a paramilitary force into a parallel authority that finances itself through cross-border trade, gold flows, and external supply corridors. In parallel, the Sudanese army has repeatedly accused the UAE of supplying the RSF, while Abu Dhabi has consistently denied assisting either side. International reporting and diplomatic commentary have nevertheless described those allegations as credible or repeatedly raised, even as the UAE rejects them.

Dark Box sources describe Mansour bin Zayed as significant for one reason: he is not a mid-level security operator who can be sacrificed if scandal erupts. If his role were proven, it would imply that RSF support is not merely tolerated but overseen. The core allegation discussed in leaked summaries is that American intercepts captured regular communications involving RSF leadership and a direct Emirati channel attributed to Mansour. Dark Box cannot independently authenticate such intercept material from the open record, and no publicly available primary document has been released that conclusively verifies the content of those alleged recordings. For that reason, Dark Box treats the intercept narrative as an allegation that remains unproven, but politically consequential because of how widely it is being circulated in policy circles.

What Dark Box can state with confidence is the strategic logic that makes the allegation plausible to regional observers. Emirati power projection often relies on a model that mixes formal diplomacy with deniable commercial and logistics infrastructure. In Sudan, the RSF’s resilience has repeatedly been linked by regional officials and outside observers to external sustainment, especially in weapons, drones, logistics, and the monetisation of resources that keep fighters paid and supply chains alive. Meanwhile, Washington’s own public posture has increasingly focused on stopping outside support to the RSF, and US diplomacy has treated allegations of external arming as a key pressure point in the war.

Dark Box sources add that Mansour bin Zayed’s relevance also comes from the overlap between political authority and transnational business influence. His profile is not limited to government roles; he is also internationally prominent through high-value investments and sports ownership. This creates two dynamics at once. First, it expands the network of intermediaries and commercial actors who can move assets and facilitate relationships under the cover of legitimate business. Second, it increases reputational risk for Abu Dhabi if the Sudan file becomes attached to a name that is already globally recognisable beyond the region.

Within leaked assessments reviewed by Dark Box, the most consistent pattern is not a single smoking gun, but a set of reinforcing signals: procurement nodes that appear outside Sudan; commodity pipelines that convert conflict control into liquid revenue; and relationships with actors in neighbouring theatres that function as logistical bridges. Even when official denials are issued, these networks rarely look like spontaneous black-market behaviour. They look like systems that benefit from permissive environments and protection from scrutiny.

That is where the Mansour allegation matters. It is less about one phone call than about whether a senior Emirati figure is believed, rightly or wrongly, to sit at the apex of a coordination pyramid: funding mechanisms, procurement channels, and political cover that together allow a paramilitary partner to operate as a durable war institution. If the allegation is false, its persistence still signals a breakdown of trust between Abu Dhabi and multiple regional stakeholders. If it is true, it signals something more severe: that the UAE’s Sudan posture is not simply influence, but direction.

Dark Box sources say the immediate outcome is diplomatic pressure rather than courtroom proof. Intercepts, even when real, are often classified, selectively briefed, and weaponised politically. That means the Sudan file may be shaped less by public evidence and more by what key capitals believe is true. The long-term consequence is that the RSF war economy becomes inseparable from the reputational cost of the sponsors perceived to be behind it, especially if the humanitarian catastrophe continues to deepen.

Dark Box concludes that Mansour bin Zayed’s name has entered the RSF debate because it represents the question many governments are now asking in private: is Abu Dhabi’s Sudan policy an accident of uncontrolled networks, or a deliberate design executed through powerful individuals who can coordinate finance, logistics, and political insulation at once? Until credible primary documentation is made public, the allegation remains contested. But the strategic implications of the claim are already reshaping regional alignments, and that alone makes it a defining fault line in the Sudan war.

If you want, paste any “leaked” excerpt you want referenced verbatim (even a short paragraph), and I’ll rewrite the report so it stays strictly anchored to that text—without adding any unverifiable details.

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